There are traditionally three shells in a shell game. Under one of the shells a pea is hidden. The shells are rapidly moved around and back and forth in an effort to confuse. A player is then required to determine which shell is hiding the pea at any given time. A small wager is usually made to make the game more interesting…
Watch the shell game being played for a while and you might start to notice some things that were not obvious at the beginning. Things are not as they initially seem.
Three shells found on the periphery of Europe are Britain, Ukraine and Greece. These are nations that have produced significant cultural constituencies in the past couple of years:
- Britain has produced Saxon Maidan, SNP and a ProtestantRedoubt franchise
- Ukraine has produced EuroMaidan and NovoRossiya and
- Greece has produced SYRIZA.
Cultural constituencies are sub national groups brought into existence by the new economic order. Just as geographic constituencies are the building block of Germanic Land Democracy and the nation state so non geographic cultural constituencies are the building blocks of the Permanently Failing Nation State.
By what means are nation states failing?
By means of proliferating international treaties that strangle them.
Cultural constituencies are populist movements that emerge within national territories in response to transnational agreements and treaties. They either seek to defend specific interests against these agreements or seek to use the agreements to forward specific interests.
- SaxonMaidan challenges Germanic domination
- SYRIZA challenges Germanic domination
- Euromaidan challenges Russia,(with the backing of Germanic Europe)
What makes the above three examples significant is that cultural constituencies have to a greater or lesser extent achieved political power. We can learn something from watching how they have functioned so far. I chose the British shell to look under…
Saxon Maidan in Britain
The newly elected Conservative government in Britain has just issued an ‘emergency’ Budget. The reason it’s an emergency budget is that Conservatives never actually thought they would get into power.
Mainstream Conservatives exceeded electoral expectations by co-opting the emergent SaxonMaidan cultural constituency. This resulted in a wholly unexpected outright majority. Confusion ensued since Conservatives made promises on the margins of the SaxonMaidan they never thought they would have to keep.
Welfare Bait and Switch
For instance, cutting the welfare budget by £12 billion. SaxonMaidan likes the idea of permanently shrinking the welfare state and sticking it to all the ‘shirkers’, but in economic terms it is pretty stupid; it will inevitably adversely effect growth.
But here the hand is quicker than the eye. Conservative Chancellor of the Exchequer (widely tipped to be next Prime Minister), George Osborne announced what appeared on the face of it to be a substantial increase in the minimum wage- much to the ‘astonishment’ of assorted media types since Conservatives and particularly Saxon conservatives are historically vehemently against this sort of thing.
In reality this is a bit of nifty handwork by Osborne and his advisors. The raised minimum wage kills two (or three), birds with one stone (or pea).
First, it overcomes the demand shrinkage that is a consequence of welfare cuts. As I said above, taking £12 billion spending power out of the economy is not a good idea, especially as it will precisely affect mostly the low end jobs and wages that require a minimum wage.
Second, it sets the ground for the forthcoming referendum on continued EU membership that was a key concession to obtain SaxonMaidan votes. This is a particularly slick move:
Prime Minister David Cameron promised to negotiate tougher terms as a continued basis for Britain staying in Europe. One of these terms is cutting in work welfare entitlements for European immigrants.
Up until now there has been strong resistance to this, especially from poorer EU member countries that provide the immigrants benefiting most from welfare. But now the EU will concede welfare cuts because instead of direct welfare benefits, the British government will guarantee immigrant income indirectly through the new minimum wage.
Cameron will claim victory on cutting immigrant welfare and campaign for staying within the EU. Everybody happy. Well, everybody on the inside anyway.
Permanent Credit Economy
Third, the minimum wage raise helps usher in the Permanent Credit Economy. The P.C.E. is a planned economy– it has long been accepted by western elites that there is no other way to manage society. In fact the P.C.E. defines the failed capitalist state!
There is no free market in labour. There is no free negotiation in labour and SaxonMaidan and the Conservatives want even the symbolic remnants of collective labour bargaining effectively outlawed. In its place will be government mandated income levels.
In tandem with the minimum wage, bank credit is central to this.
The P.C.E. takes all the social provisions supplied by the welfare state and makes them the subject of bank provided private credit, including but not limited to: Housing, Education and Health.
The last dregs of social housing in Britain are being privatised in the budget and the very few remaining government grants which enable the poorest young people to take part in further education are being withdrawn. They will be replaced with’ education mortgages’.
The end purpose of the Permanent credit economy is to permanently integrate the banks into the state as a decentralised planning system. Enforced credit and no free bargaining means there will be no disposable income as we have understood the term.
Economist Michael Hudson has reached exactly the same conclusion:
‘It is much harder to write down debts owed to or guaranteed by governments. U.S. student loan debt cannot be written off, but remains to prevent graduates from earning enough take-home pay (after debt service and FICA Social Security tax withholding is taken out of their paychecks) to get married, start families and buy homes of their own. Only the banks get bailed out, now that they have become in effect the economy’s central planners.’1
SaxonMaidan Doesn’t Like the BBC
The specific purpose of the BBC is to cohere British society around the values of ‘One Nation’ Protestantism (what has become ProtestantRedoubt cultural constituency). Because of this SaxonMaidan hates the BBC with a passion. Rupert Murdoch and the Sky network is the perfect expression of this SaxonMaidan hatred. The SaxonMaidan is constantly looking for ways to damage the BBC and now with its new-found electoral power it has come up with three ways:
- Forcing the BBC to pay the price of free TV licences for old age pensioners (which the BBC estimates will cost it £650 million from its budget).
- Making the non payment of the license fee no longer a criminal offence but a civil one. (The BBC estimates this will cost around £250 million) and
- Forcing the BBC to privatise online services making them a subscription service.
But wait here comes the fight back from ProtestantRedoubt: Say hello to voluntary taxes!:
‘The BBC will ask people aged over 75 to voluntarily pay the licence fee to help tackle a 10% real-terms cut in its budget as a result of this week’s controversial shotgun deal with the government. A senior BBC executive said it would ask elderly viewers and listeners to consider paying the annual charge even though they have not had to pay it since 2001.2
I refer to this cultural practice specifically in a previous piece:
‘What differentiates cultural constituencies from political constituencies?
Simply put, political constituencies vote with ballots to control money and cultural constituencies vote with money to control politics.’3
Battles on the Border
At the same time that SaxonMaidan came into existence the SNP cohered north of the border. This is hardly surprising; the exact forces that gave rise to SaxonMaidan created the SNP; just like a photographic negative forms a print. Of course they hate and are baffled by each other.
This has resulted in a SaxonMaidan campaign for English votes on English laws. In other words Scottish SNP members of parliament will not be allowed to vote on certain aspects of British law. Needless to say this has not gone down well North of the Border.
There will also be a comprehensive redrawing of the geographic electoral boundaries substantially and permanently advantaging the Conservative party.
From our peek under the British shell we can draw some general conclusions about the game is run:
Agitating for Permanent boundary revisions are a feature of cultural constituencies. In the case of the Ukrainian Euromaidan and NovoRossiya this hardly needs further elaboration. In the case of SaxonMaidan and SNP the boundary questions are fairly clear also. If we look to PODEMOS in Spain and the Catalonian independence movement we can see how boundaries will be of importance here also.
Here is a prediction:
Assuming SYRIZA is not deposed in the near future, don’t be surprised if a boundary dispute breaks out on or near the Greek territory….
Control of media is becoming ever more clearly a key objective for cultural constituencies. I pointed out how this is coming to the fore in SaxonMaidan and it’s battle with the BBC. Now Labour Party leadership candidate Andy Burnham has stated that he will not give an interview to the Sun (a Murdoch tabloid), because of its reporting of the Hillsborough Football disaster4 This is a clear attempt to begin constructing Labours very own cultural constituency if you aren’t part of one, try to start your own!
Here is a prediction:
SNP will be involved in a serious BBC related dispute in the near future.
The role of the Greek oligarch media in the recent referendum has been clear and unambiguous. SYRIZA has made it clear that if they can get the chance it will be open season on their oligarchy enemies in the media.
And of course Ukraine Euromaidan has opted for open and direct censorship.
Here is a prediction:
Now look for a media battle featuring PODEMOS.
What every cultural constituency I have described has startlingly shown is an Unexpected relationship between geographic constituency and cultural constituency
In Britain SNP won by a landslide; the extent of the win was a surprise. Conservatives gained a surprise majority in England with the aid of SaxonMaidan.
In Greece SYRIZA first surprised by being the largest party and then again by so convincingly winning the referendum
Even in Ukraine the total collapse of the Yanukovych administration was largely unexpected. It was this shock as much as anything that led to NovoRossiya gaining such momentum and splitting the territory.
Why does this succession of surprise victories happen?
Because existing national structures find it very difficult to deal with the emergence of cultural constituencies. In the ideology of the nation state, cultural ethnic and regional differences have all been effectively neutralised by geographic democratic politics, as I explain above.
To see these pre-national differences re-appear is a profound shock to the elites of nation states. Especially since the only plausible explanation for their re-appearance is the failing of nation states. In order to be able to a develop a realistic response to emerging cultural constituencies, national elites are going to have to openly admit that to some extent their nations are failing!
And if you doubt this is the case, just look at the difficulties that the British government is having even talking about Western Takfiris……..
1 The Financial Attack on Greece: Where To From Here? By Michael Hudson July 08, 2015
3 ‘American Sniper Or ‘Don’t Shoot!’ Or ‘Cultural Constituencies’ Or Money Where Mouth Is’